OKC Thunder Bold Predictions: What I Got Right (and Mostly Wrong) | Mussatto (2026)

In this insightful article, sports columnist Joe Mussatto reflects on his bold predictions for the Oklahoma City Thunder's 2025-2026 NBA season, offering a mix of analysis, personal commentary, and a deeper dive into the team's performance. Mussatto's predictions covered a range of topics, from player achievements to team dynamics and even a humorous take on a player's lack of three-point success. Here's a breakdown of his predictions and the expert commentary that follows:

  1. Thunder's Championship Repeat (Failed Prediction): Mussatto's prediction that the Thunder would repeat as champions was a bold one, given their +200 odds in the preseason. He highlights the 67% chance of other teams winning, which ultimately proved correct. This prediction serves as a reminder that even the most favored teams can face unexpected challenges.
  2. Chet Holmgren's All-NBA Recognition (Partially Correct): The analyst's prediction that Holmgren would make the second team All-NBA was a daring one. While he did make the third team, the prediction showcases the fine line between bold and realistic expectations in sports.
  3. Three Players Averaging 20-Plus Points (Failed Prediction): The odds were stacked against this prediction, and it didn't come to fruition. Mussatto's analysis of the rarity of such occurrences in NBA history adds a layer of context to the prediction's failure.
  4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Drive Per Game (Correct Prediction): SGA's decline in drives per game from first to third place is a notable shift. Mussatto's obsession with this niche stat adds a touch of humor to the prediction's success.
  5. Ajay Mitchell's Most Improved Player Recognition (Partially Correct): Mitchell's breakout performance was acknowledged, but he didn't receive a single vote for Most Improved Player. This highlights the subjective nature of voting in sports.
  6. Brooks Barnhizer's Contract Elevation (Failed Prediction): A missed prediction, but Mussatto's tone suggests a learning experience rather than a setback.
  7. Aaron Wiggins' Games Played (Failed Prediction): Wiggins' performance aligns with the team's 'process over results' philosophy, but Mussatto's prediction didn't come true.
  8. Cason Wallace's Starting Role (Correct Prediction): Wallace's increased starts over Hartenstein showcase the team's strategic decisions and the analyst's insight into player roles.
  9. SGA's MVP Finish (Partially Correct): SGA's back-to-back MVP wins were predicted, but Jokic finished second. This prediction highlights the competitive nature of MVP races.
  10. Hartenstein's 3-Point Success (Failed Prediction): Hartenstein's 0 for 26 three-point attempt rate is a humorous and surprising outcome, adding a light-hearted element to the predictions.

Mussatto's article is a blend of sports analysis and personal commentary, offering a unique perspective on the Thunder's season. His predictions, both correct and incorrect, provide a fascinating insight into the team's dynamics and the challenges of making bold forecasts in the NBA.

OKC Thunder Bold Predictions: What I Got Right (and Mostly Wrong) | Mussatto (2026)
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